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Updated: 51 min 40 sec ago

TFD: The Wolves lottery history would be even worse with proposed new format

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 18:08
The Timberwolves participated in the NBA draft lottery 16 times in which the pick was derived from their own poor record the season and they still held the pick on draft night. In nine of those cases, they ended up picking at a lower spot than their pre-lottery position. In seven cases, they stayed the same as their pre-lottery position. In ZERO cases, of course, they picked at a higher spot than their pre-lottery position. It made us wonder how they might have fared if the NBA had been operating for the past 25 years under the proposed new lottery system, as written about at Grantland a couple of weeks ago and now again in the news because the 76ers reportedly object to them: Under the current system, the team with the worst record has a 25 percent chance of snagging the no. 1 pick, perhaps the most valuable asset in the entire NBA. The team with the second-worst record has a 19.9 percent chance of winning the no. 1 pick, and the third-worst team enters the lottery with a 15.6 percent chance of moving up to the top slot. The odds decline from there, with the final five teams in the lottery — the teams with the five best records — each having a 1.1 percent or worse chance of moving up to no. 1. The league’s proposal gives at least the four worst teams the same chance at winning the no. 1 pick: approximately an identical 11 percent shot for each club. The odds decline slowly from there, with the team in the next spot holding a 10 percent chance. The lottery team with the best record will have a 2 percent chance of leaping to the no. 1 pick, up from the the minuscule 0.5 percent chance it has under the current system. Of the 16 cases of the Wolves in the lottery mentioned above, the Wolves had a top-3 pre-lottery position seven times. Another five times, they had either the No. 5 or No. 6 position. The other four times they had a pre-lottery position of seventh or lower. Without knowing the exact NBA proposal, it’s hard to figure this out with certainty, but our best guess is that in those seven times the Wolves had top-3 lottery position, their odds would have been considerably worse. In the five times they were No. 5 or No. 6, their odds would have been about the same. And the other four times they were seventh or lower, their odds would have improved by a few percentage points. In other words, the Wolves — who have had historically bad lottery luck — would have been even worse off in this new system. But just for fun, we would be willing to invent a time machine and go back to 1990 to see if any of the drafts worked out in their favor despite the longer odds.
Categories: Local

Twins' attitude on deadline: You still here?

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 18:08
Hughes, minus his batting helmet, makes first start since being hit on leg by line drive last week
Categories: Local

Council may side with birds in stadium debate

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 16:50
Allegations that the massive, glassy Vikings stadium in downtown will kill thousands of birds cruising into into its transparent windows have found sympathetic ears at City Hall.
Categories: Local

Turner: Preseason to weigh 'heavily' on QB decision

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 13:12
Offensive coordinator Norv Turner wouldn’t go into detail about how the reps will be divided between quarterbacks Matt Cassel, Teddy Bridgewater and Christian Ponder, but he said on Wednesday he expects the preseason games will weigh heavily on head coach Mike Zimmer’s decision.
Categories: Local

Gophers summer series: Mo Walker has a different kind of summer this year

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:38
The center has gone through the tough part. Now he's working on honing his game.
Categories: Local

Vikings activate Munnerlyn from the PUP list

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 11:31
The Vikings have activated cornerback Captain Munnerlyn from the PUP list. He is expected to practice this afternoon.
Categories: Local

Access Vikings morning walkthrough: July 30

Wed, 07/30/2014 - 07:46
Our Vikings reporters walk you through what's going on today
Categories: Local

Gibson sharp, replay officials not so much as Twins win

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 22:46
The Twins starter had a strong return, while his manager was ejected in the victory.
Categories: Local

Wild still trying to re-sign Niederreiter, Kuemper

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 22:30
The team struck a deal with Justin Fontaine, but its other two restricted free agents are unsigned.
Categories: Local

Champions Tour players make concessions to age

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 22:18
Hal Sutton and Fred Funk got their game back after replacement surgeries.
Categories: Local

Opinion divided on NCAA concussion deal

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 22:12
Some laud the settlement as a breakthrough in helping players with head injuries; others say the NCAA got off easy.
Categories: Local

Except for his limp, Gophers' Kill fit for preseason camp

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 21:56
The Gophers football coach injured a hamstring in a conditioning drill.
Categories: Local

Kill: Jones ready to appeal if not cleared by NCAA

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 21:54
Categories: Local

Souhan: There's more to this Vikings fan than the face paint

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 21:51
Sure, Erin Darsow literally wears her Vikings pride on her face, but don’t lump her and her peers with troublemakers.
Categories: Local

Craig: Turner's watchful eye has Vikings' Bridgewater on fast track

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 21:45
Teddy Bridgewater is a quick study, as Norv Turner proudly shows.
Categories: Local

Lynx's preparation begins for West rival Phoenix

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 19:24
Coach Cheryl Reeve is trying to keep the game in perspective.
Categories: Local

Outfielder Arcia not with Twins after son's birth

Tue, 07/29/2014 - 19:21
The right fielder skipped the paternity list and will rejoin the team for Wednesday's game in Kansas City.
Categories: Local

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